Monthly Archives: January 2015

In my previous post, I made the insinuation that election commentators had no idea who would win the election. Broadly this is true, but of course, when you are paid to write opinion, you have to say more than this. … Continue reading →

One method of how to combine different types of data – especially qualitative and quantitative, is to convert both types into belief about a given event. The previous blog posts have demonstrated how to do this using different types of … Continue reading →

While the time to the UK general election is roughly the same as that to the end of the football season (see here), there are considerable differences in the type of data presented on which to make predictions. The biggest … Continue reading →

The UK football season is just over halfway through its year. The top four teams will qualify for the European Champions league, and that means a lot of money. So, what is the probability that any given team will actually … Continue reading →

So, this blog has been pretty dormant for a while now, but a New Year (in capitals, so it must be new) and a new intention to actually do something with the blog. I’m going to post a number of … Continue reading →