Author Archives: Rick Stafford

Just how good are marine nature-based solutions?

The recent report from the British Ecological Society has reviewed a wide range of Nature-based solutions for climate change mitigation. It does clearly state, in multiple locations, that while there are many benefits of NbS, they are not a substitute … Continue reading

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UK’s calls to protect 30% of seas

Yesterday, the DEFRA, the environmental section of the UK government, has supported international calls to designate and protect 30% of the world’s oceans as marine protected areas (MPAs). My twitter feed has gone a bit mad since with so many comments … Continue reading

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Free NERC funded course – Management of Marine Protected Areas using Bayesian Belief Networks

1st December 2017 to 23rd March 2018 – Online This course focusses on integrating diverse data for effective environmental management – with examples focussing on Marine Protected Areas – but also suitable for any kind of environmental management problems. No … Continue reading

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On open letter to Kelly Slater’s call for a Reunion shark cull

Kelly Slater is a surfing legend, he’s also a keen supporter of environmental issues, which is why his recent comments about a shark cull for Reunion Island are so off the mark. However, he has called for evidence to counter … Continue reading

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Save the sharks, they prevent climate change!

We already know and can read about the effects of unsustainable fishing. Reduced catches of cod and more costly fish and chips are just part of the message, which can go as far as to include the ‘jellyfish soup’ predictions … Continue reading

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Champions’ League

I’d like to say that I’ve delayed this post to allow for an update on the predictions of the model – but it really isn’t true, I just haven’t got around to doing it until now. However, all these predictions … Continue reading

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Simple interactions – the rise of UKIP

In my previous post, I made the insinuation that election commentators had no idea who would win the election. Broadly this is true, but of course, when you are paid to write opinion, you have to say more than this. … Continue reading

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Elections again – Bayesian belief networks and combining data types

One method of how to combine different types of data – especially qualitative and quantitative, is to convert both types into belief about a given event. The previous blog posts have demonstrated how to do this using different types of … Continue reading

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Probability of winning an election

While the time to the UK general election is roughly the same as that to the end of the football season (see here), there are considerable differences in the type of data presented on which to make predictions. The biggest … Continue reading

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Who will get to Europe?

The UK football season is just over halfway through its year. The top four teams will qualify for the European Champions league, and that means a lot of money. So, what is the probability that any given team will actually … Continue reading

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